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  • Somaliland the Light at the end of the Tunnel!
    Somaliland the Light at the end of the Tunnel!

    Poor but Democratic! The Republic of Somaliland makes us Africans everywhere Proud.

    A dirty white, bullet-pocked house, without electricity and running water, does not merit a second glance in the town of Burao high in the east of Somaliland. Yet this former colonial governor’s residence, shaded by a giant acacia, was the site of the Grand Conference of the Northern Peoples in Burao, held over six weeks, which concluded with the declaration of Somaliland’s independence from Somalia on 18 May 1991.

    Since then, the Somalilanders have stuck with a winning formula, despite the absence of international recognition and the tepid democratic enthusiasm of much of the Horn of Africa. In the immediate region, only Somaliland is ranked as ‘partly free’ (with a score of 42/100) on Freedom House’s political rights and civil liberty rankings. Ethiopia (22), Djibouti (24) and Somalia (7) all rank as ‘unfree’, and the same is true for Uganda (34), Rwanda (21), Burundi (14), Egypt (18), Sudan (17), South Sudan (2) and Eritrea (2) in the next regional ring. Only Kenya (48) to the south also enjoys ‘partly free’ status.

    Somaliland uses democracy to keep its people together. Its steady democratic performance and progress are a breath of fresh air in a continent where democrats are facing an uphill struggle. Only seven countries of 49 in sub-Saharan Africa are currently in the ‘free’ category. This is the lowest figure since 1991, with under 10% of the population of the continent living in countries classified by Freedom House as ‘free’.

    Somaliland also shows that you don’t have to be rich to be democratic. Despite a tiny national budget of just $250 million for its 3.5 million people (according to Minister of Finance Saad Shire) and a tough geography and hostile climate, Somaliland is showing the way for much richer countries to follow.

    ‘A place that has made something out of virtually nothing’ is how former Nigerian president Olusegun Obasanjo has described the progress made by Somaliland. His trip there in May 2019 was the first by an African president, current or former, since the territory re-declared its independence in May 1991.

    HEAVY HISTORICAL BAGGAGE

    Somaliland gained its initial independence from the UK in 1960. Five days later, it made an ill-fated decision to join former Italian Somaliland in a union that was envisaged ultimately to include French Somalia (now Djibouti), the Somali-dominated Ogaden region of Ethiopia (now Region 5) and a chunk of northern Kenya; this was the origin of the five-pointed star on the Somali flag.

    In the centre of the capital, Hargeisa, is the independence memorial, comprising a MiG-17 fighter-bomber erected on a plinth. This commemorates the event when, having lost control of the province, Somalia’s then-ruler Siad Barre ordered his air force – operating from the local airport – to bomb the city, which had been briefly captured by local Somali National Movement (SNM) liberation fighters in May 1988. With the planes flown by Rhodesian mercenaries, among others, the air raids resulted in thousands of civilian casualties.

    By the time of Siad Barre’s fall three years later, the main cities of Hargeisa and Burao had been razed to the ground. Not for nothing was Hargeisa known as the ‘roofless city’ after systemic looting by Mogadishu had stripped it of roof sheeting and even doors and their frames. Since then, Somalilanders have sought stability on the principle of maximum ownership and the reality of minimum resources.

    Peace did not require vast external financing. There was none available anyway at the time, save for remittance flows to Somaliland families, totalling an estimated $500–900 million annually by 2019. In fact, the absence of outsiders may be precisely the reason for Somaliland’s success, at least compared to its southern neighbour, Somalia, which has lurched violently from peace conference to initiative, peacekeeping mission to external military intervention, and failing government to fragile coalition, seemingly with little discernible progress. In Somalia, ‘conflict entrepreneurs’ have fed off both the fighting and the talking in a top-down process financed by donors, mostly taking place outside the country.

    By contrast, Somaliland’s peace conferences were managed and financed by locals, bringing their own food and shelter. The last conference in 1993 was held over five months under the trees in the western city of Boroma. Such dialogue, long a feature of Somaliland society, was organic and bottom-up rather than top-down. Somalilanders concentrated on achieving peace, not on acquiring comforts or financial benefits for delegates from a peace process.

    Despite its obvious dysfunctionality, Somalia somehow refuses to countenance Somaliland’s right to a divorce, clinging chauvinistically to the notion that the marriage can be repaired. And the rest of Africa blindly stumbles on with hopes for reunion and fears of the impact of accepting the current two-state reality.

    RECOVERY

    Somaliland’s recovery since the 1990s has similarly demanded persistence and the principle of inclusion. The former UK protectorate has developed a stable, democratic system of politics, merging modern and traditional elements. In 2002, Somaliland made the transition from a clan-based system to a multi-party democracy after a referendum in 2001, formalising the Guurti as an Upper House of Elders, which secures the support of traditional clan-based power structures.

    There have since been regular elections and a frequent turnover of power between the main political parties. The 2003 presidential election was won by Dahir Riyale Kahin by just 80 votes in nearly half a million against Ahmed Mahamoud Silanyo. The tables were subsequently turned in 2010, with Silanyo winning 49% of the vote to his opponent’s 33%. In November 2017, Muse Bihi Abdi, a former SNM fighter who had earlier served as a Soviet-trained fighter pilot in the Somali Air Force, was elected president. He received 55% of the vote, becoming the country’s fifth president and cementing a tradition of peaceful handovers of power rare to the region.

    On 31 May 2021, around the 30th anniversary of Somaliland’s independence and the 20th anniversary of its multi-party democracy, the parliamentary and local district elections went off smoothly – despite the coronavirus pandemic – with 1.1 million voters registered by the National Electoral Commission (NEC), and the establishment of 2,709 polling stations countrywide.

    Unlike Somaliland’s previous six elections, which were mostly funded by outsiders, 70% of the $8 million budget was financed internally. And despite delays in the elections – caused by a standoff between the presidency and opposition parties over the nomination of members of the NEC, as well as challenges with the iris biometric voter registration system – these were the most competitive yet, with 246 candidates for 82 parliamentary seats and 966 for 249 district municipality posts across the six regions.

    Critics say that Somaliland’s democracy has been facilitated by the dominance of a single clan, the Isaaq, unlike Somalia, which has to balance the competing interests and ambitions of four major clans and several smaller ones. But this argument understates the differences between the Isaaq’s sub-clans and sub-sub-clans, ignores the internal violence that accompanied the country’s birth process – which had to be resolved – and overlooks the tremendous hard work that went into that process.

    The focus on the relative integrity of the clan system, President Abdi contends, also underestimates the impact of the democratic culture of the SNM. ‘For 10 years’, he says from his offices in Hargeisa, ‘the SNM was struggling for democracy, refusing the dictatorship of Siad Barre. The democracy we now have was also based on the constitution of the SNM, which was very democratic, in which there were regular elections every two years, and in which the central committee operated like a parliament’.

    He cites the example of former President Silanyo, who was removed in the 1989 SNM elections, and yet accepted the change. ‘We have a tradition of accepting results and changing power, and accepting leadership even outside of the SNM, which is very unusual’, he points out, ‘among African liberation movements’.

    SUPPORTING STRUCTURES

    Donors have helped in sponsoring the local civil society group that provides election oversight: according to the Somaliland Non-State Actors Forum (SONSAF), in 2021, the EU was the principal contributor to its $2 million budget. SONSAF deployed nearly 900 monitors countrywide and ran an Election Situation Room in Hargeisa staffed by 16 operators, collecting and collating countrywide incident reports between April and July 2021. This is how donors can spend money wisely in support of local governance initiatives and the cause of peace and stability.

    Of course, as with any democracy, there are challenges of consolidation. Delays to the election process have resulted in officials serving well beyond their original mandates, while journalists face problems of access and pressure from authorities. There are instances of minor clans being subject to political and economic marginalisation, and violence against women remains a serious problem in a highly patriarchal society.

    We observed the 31 May elections in Sahel region, including Burao, the former colonial capital of Sheikh and the villages of Ina Dhakool and Qoyta – the latter of which was the site of a casualty clearing station during the civil war. For all of its diplomatic isolation, Somaliland is strongly globalised. The link with the diaspora is evident in the names of Burao’s suburbs, including Xaafada London, Abu Dhabi and Jarmalka (Germany).

    Yet Somaliland remains synonymous with grinding poverty and dirt-scrabble hardship. A high percentage of the population is illiterate and required assistance at polling stations, many of which were run by university students. The slow pace of voting was accompanied by constant grumbling on a high Somali volume setting. Regardless, the enthusiasm was palpable, not least among the very old and young. Preference was patiently given to disabled and female voters. A voting age of 15 might seem low, and a cynical way of vote stealing, but it serves as a deradicalisation mechanism for the largest demographic: 70% of Somaliland’s population of 3.5 million is under the age of 30. The younger generation sees democracy as a means of diluting the impact of the clan system.

    Democracy demands and creates a high-trust and transparent environment. Assisted voters – about one-fifth of those in our area of observation in 46 polling stations – were asked their preference which was filled in by the presiding officer, and then shown immediately to the agents representing the three parties in the station. These practices help to ensure votes are respected. The crowds were not voting just for political parties; they were voting for nationhood and to show their pride in self-determination.

    Somaliland’s commitments to improving democratic norms and standards, and its regular change of leaders at the polls, have made it a regional democratic superpower. Its progress should shame those much richer African countries where incumbents are rolling back democratic progress because it threatens their power and financial privilege.

    Those African leaders – of governments and oppositions alike – who are committed to democracy should recognise Somaliland’s undoubted progress from war to peace.

    The authors were members of the international election monitoring team convened by the Brenthurst Foundation, and were based in the Sahel region in eastern Somaliland.

    The views expressed in this Commentary are the authors’, and do not represent those of RUSI or any other institution.

    Greg Mills, John Githongo, John Steenhuisen, Abbasali Haji, Chipokota Mwanawasa and Tendai Biti
    Commentary, 4 June 2021
    Africa in Perspective, Horn of Africa, Africa

Economy

  • Djibouti’s port dream to turn into the ‘Singapore of Africa’
    Djibouti’s port dream to turn into the ‘Singapore of Africa’

    On a sultry spring afternoon, the chief govt of Djibouti’s foremost container port is overseeing a big Chinese language vessel unloading containers destined for neighbouring Ethiopia.

    “This one arrived this morning and it’s all completed, it is going to depart for Jeddah tonight,” says Abdillahi Adawe Sigad, head of SGTD (Société de Gestion du Terminal à conteneur de Doraleh), with satisfaction.

    Such effectivity means Djibouti’s purpose of emulating Singapore as a number one maritime buying and selling hub is inside attain.

    “Our dream is to turn into a brand new Singapore,” says Sigad, who beforehand labored in Panama, one other key maritime transshipment trading post.

    In line with a brand new international container port efficiency index compiled by the World Bank and IHS Markit, the port is probably the most environment friendly in Africa measured by minutes per container transfer. “There’s a want for funding, there’s a want for co-operation, on capability constructing, however we’re on a foremost visitors axis,” Sigad says.

    A small nation of barren mountains and desert, Djibouti is on the strait of Bab-el-Mandeb on the north-east fringe of Africa. That is the place 30 per cent of the world’s transport passes by a chokepoint on its solution to the Suez Canal and the Purple Sea.

    “There are 5 very essential straits on the earth — Bab-el-Mandeb, the Suez Canal, Panama, Gibraltar and Malacca,” says Aboubaker Omar Hadi, chair of the Djibouti Ports and Free Zones Authority.

    “Folks ask: ‘Why is that this small nation creating so many ports?’ As a result of there’s a demand,” he provides. “We’re attracting an increasing number of transshipments.”


    30%


    Proportion of the world’s transport that passes by Bab-el-Mandeb on its solution to the Suez Canal and the Purple Sea

    Wedged between Ethiopia, Eritrea, the self-declared impartial state of Somaliland and the ocean, Djibouti has turn into a linchpin of worldwide commerce, thanks to those ports. Its financial system is forecast to develop by 7 per cent this yr, one of many quickest charges in Africa. Over the previous 15 years, the nation has tried to capitalise on its energy and placement to turn into a hub for worldwide commerce and logistics.

    Carl Lorenz, managing director for east Africa at AP Moller-Maersk, the world’s greatest container transport group, believes Djibouti’s six ports, which deal with about 1m containers a yr, are “among the many most efficient terminals in Africa”.

    Doraleh Container Terminal © Guillaume Bonn for the FT

    Djibouti, seen by analysts as a steady anomaly within the unstable Horn of Africa, additionally not too long ago arrange a sovereign wealth fund, for home funding, aiming to finance about $1.5bn of enterprise exercise over the subsequent decade.

    Up to now 10 years, Djibouti has attracted some $4bn in funding — from China, Gulf nations and the US, amongst others — into ports, oil and gasoline terminals, free commerce zones and a 750km rail line that may carry 2,600 tonnes of wheat and fertilisers and 110 containers per journey to Ethiopia.

    Doraleh Multi-Goal Port © AFP by way of Getty Photographs

    As a key transshipment venue, Djibouti “serves most ports on the east coast of Africa all the way in which to Durban in South Africa”, explains Dawit Michael Gebre-ab, senior director of strategic planning at Djibouti Ports and Free Zones Authority.

    Furthermore, such a strategic location makes Djibouti residence to army bases, incomes it $125m a yr in rents from the US, China, France, Japan and Italy mixed. A former French colony that turned impartial in 1977 and with a inhabitants of virtually 1m, Djibouti additionally gives a essential lifeline for landlocked Ethiopia and its fast-growing population of 114m.

    Why is that this small nation creating so many ports? There’s a demand

    Birhanu Redai, an Ethiopian trucker loading metal rolls within the port of Tadjoura, throughout the bay from Djibouti metropolis, says: “With out Djibouti, there can be no commerce for Ethiopia.” His truck will journey residence on a newly paved highway hall.

    It has not been a wholly clean progress, although. Three years in the past, Djibouti seized the Red Sea container port of Doraleh from DP World, after a wrangle with the Dubai-based ports operator. DP World’s chair and chief govt, Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, stated Djibouti acted illegally and took it to courtroom.

    Far horizons: Djibouti serves ports on the east coast of Africa as far-off as Durban in South Africa” © Guillaume Bonn for the FT

    However Hadi counters that DP World’s purpose was to take management of Djibouti’s shoreline. And, if something, Djiboutians imagine the tussle with Dubai has boosted their nation’s ambitions.

    The historic port within the coronary heart of the town of Djibouti is being developed into a global enterprise district with lodges, a marina and actual property initiatives, whereas the Djibouti Worldwide Free Commerce Zone is already operational.

    Extra tales from this report

    The Djibouti Damerjog Industrial Growth Free Zone is being constructed to serve petrochemicals initiatives and heavy business. There’s additionally a terminal for livestock — together with camels — a transport line, a restore yard for vessels, and a liquid bulk port.

    Recalling that Singapore was as soon as a British army barracks, Panama an American protectorate, and Djibouti a French garrison, finance minister Ilyas Moussa Dawaleh says his nation’s ambitions are usually not far-fetched.

    “Now we have the identical traits as Singapore, then we share some with Panama,” he says. “Some are a bit particular to Djibouti however . . . the world is transferring in direction of commerce and providers.” Djibouti’s port dream to turn into the ‘Singapore of Africa’

    source link Djibouti’s port dream to turn into the ‘Singapore of Africa’

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